How Will It Affect Real Estate?

Congestion Pricing in NYC: Why? How? What Can We Learn from London, and How Will It Affect Real Estate?

January 08, 20254 min read

Congestion Pricing in NYC: Why? How? What Can We Learn from London, and How Will It Affect Real Estate? 


As of Monday, January 5, 2025, New York City officially rolled out congestion pricing. Love it or hate it, this historic move is already reshaping how we navigate the city, aiming to tackle our infamous traffic, improve air quality, and pump much-needed cash into public transit. But what does this mean for your daily life—and your property values? Let’s break it down, take a cue from London, and explore how this could reshape NYC real estate.

Why Congestion Pricing?
 

Let’s face it—Manhattan traffic is a nightmare. Average speeds in midtown are crawling at 7 mph, and New Yorkers are losing 117 hours a year stuck in gridlock, which translates to nearly $2,000 in wasted time. Something had to give. 

Here’s what congestion pricing is supposed to fix: 

  1. Cut traffic: The goal is 100,000 fewer vehicles entering the central business district daily.

  2. Cleaner air: Less congestion = fewer emissions = better health for all of us.

  3. Public transit overhaul: The $1 billion in annual revenue is earmarked to back $15 billion in MTA upgrades.


London Did It First—What Can We Learn?
 
London’s congestion pricing system has been running since 2003, and their results offer a glimpse into what we can expect:
 

  • Traffic relief: Vehicle numbers dropped 18% in year one.

  • Better transit: Bus ridership shot up by 33%.

  • Faster travel: Average speeds increased 37%, and congestion dipped 30%.

  • Cleaner air: Emissions in the zone fell by 13-18%.

  • Economic boost: By 2019, London avoided nearly £5 billion in congestion-related losses.


The catch? Over time, congestion has crept back up, and not everyone loves it. The lesson: Success depends on constant adjustments to keep things running smoothly.
 
 
NYC’s Congestion Pricing Toll Structure


Now, let’s talk dollars and cents. NYC’s plan includes tiered tolls based on vehicle type and time of day, designed to encourage off-peak travel and push more people toward public transit.

When You’ll Pay
 

  • Peak Hours

    • Weekdays: 5 a.m. to 9 p.m.

    • Weekends: 9 a.m. to 9 p.m.

  • Off-Peak Hours

    • Weekdays: 9 p.m. to 5 a.m.

    • Weekends: 9 p.m. to 9 a.m.


How Much It’ll Cost

Peak Hours:
 

  • Passenger vehicles: $9 (with E-ZPass), $13.50 (by mail)

  • Motorcycles: $4.50 (with E-ZPass), $6.75 (by mail)

  • Small trucks: $14.40

  • Large trucks and buses: $21.60


Off-Peak Hours:
 

  • All vehicles: 75% off peak rates 

    • Passenger vehicles: $2.25

    • Motorcycles: $1.05

    • Small trucks: $3.60

    • Large trucks and buses: $5.40


Special Considerations
 

  • One-Time Daily Charge: No matter how many times you enter or exit the zone, you’ll only pay once per day.

  • For-Hire Vehicles: Taxis and ride-hailing services, like Uber and Lyft, will charge per-trip fees: 

    • High-volume services: $1.50 per trip

    • Taxis and green cabs: $0.75 per trip

  • Crossing Credits: E-ZPass users entering via select tunnels during peak hours could get a credit of up to $3.


Phased Rollout
 

  • 2025: Base toll starts at $9.

  • 2028: Planned increase to $12.

  • 2031: Planned increase to $15.


 
What It Means for Real Estate


As with London, congestion pricing could shift the real estate market in some interesting ways:

  • Transit-accessible areas win: Homes near great subway and bus access may see rising demand—and prices.

  • Car-centric neighborhoods lose: Properties that rely heavily on driving could face slower growth or declining values.

  • Shifting buyer priorities: Buyers might start valuing proximity to public transit over having a driveway or garage.


What’s the Catch?
 
Let’s be real—congestion pricing isn’t all upside. Here are a few hurdles:
 

  • Equity concerns: Will this hit lower-income drivers harder?

  • Traffic shifting: Will congestion just spill over to neighborhoods outside the zone?

  • Business impact: How will reduced vehicle access affect small businesses in Manhattan?


What to Watch
 
Here’s what we’ll be keeping tabs on as congestion pricing kicks in:
 

  1. Traffic trends: Will vehicle numbers drop by the predicted 100,000 a day?

  2. Public transit ridership: Are subway and bus systems picking up the slack?

  3. Air quality: Are we seeing significant reductions in emissions?

  4. Real estate shifts: Which neighborhoods are benefiting, and which are struggling?

  5. Economic ripple effects: How is this impacting tourism and local businesses?


 
The Bottom Line


NYC’s congestion pricing is a bold experiment, and its success will depend on smart execution and constant fine-tuning. It’s a chance to ease traffic, clean up the air, and revitalize public transit—but it’s not without risks.
 
What’s your take? Will congestion pricing transform NYC for the better, or is it just another headache for commuters? Let me know in the comments—I’d love to hear your thoughts!

Paul Johansen is a nationally recognized real estate professional, consistently ranked in the top 1.5% of agents nationwide and a million-dollar producer for over a decade. With 15+ years of experience in Brooklyn and Manhattan markets, Paul is a trusted industry expert frequently featured in local and national media.

Paul Johansen

Paul Johansen is a nationally recognized real estate professional, consistently ranked in the top 1.5% of agents nationwide and a million-dollar producer for over a decade. With 15+ years of experience in Brooklyn and Manhattan markets, Paul is a trusted industry expert frequently featured in local and national media.

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